Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Josefson 49.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Coyle
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Josefson
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Josefson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Josefson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
3
Coyle
Josefson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
48.8% (465)
-2.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
47.8% (23)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
52.0% (98)
+38.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Josefson is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Coyle
Josefson
Home
50.4% (367)
52.6% (268)
Away
42.5% (351)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Coyle
Josefson
P1
46.8%
44.6%
P2
47.9%
51.2%
P3
45.9%
52.2%
OT
14.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |