Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs McCann 46.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Coyle
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Coyle
McCann
Last 6: Coyle 3-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Coyle
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Coyle
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
43.4% (106)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
42.9% (21)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
50.0% (2)
-3.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Coyle
McCann
Home
52.5% (238)
43.3% (60)
Away
44.6% (269)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Coyle
McCann
P1
49.7%
42.5%
P2
49.5%
40.4%
P3
46.3%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |