Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 57.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Coyle
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Coyle
Mitchell
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Mitchell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
7
Coyle
Mitchell
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Coyle
Mitchell
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.8% (2,965)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
54.1% (196)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
44.1% (401)
-0.5%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Coyle
Mitchell
Home
49.8% (4,835)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Coyle
Mitchell
P1
49.4%
52.0%
P2
48.3%
49.9%
P3
48.8%
50.9%
OT
49.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 14, 2013 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |