Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Mitchell 49.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 83.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 50.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Coyle
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Mitchell
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Coyle
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Coyle
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
52.5% (676)
-6.5%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
55.6% (18)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
32.3% (155)
+14.4%
On power play, Mitchell has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Coyle
Mitchell
Home
45.8% (251)
52.2% (450)
Away
45.0% (251)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Coyle
Mitchell
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
46.9%
50.2%
P3
39.8%
44.8%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | John Mitchell |