Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Drouin 49.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 82.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 54.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Coyle
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Drouin
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
3
Coyle
Drouin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Coyle
Drouin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
47.5% (181)
+4.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
56.8% (44)
-12.5%
On power play, Drouin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Coyle
Drouin
Home
49.0% (537)
49.5% (97)
Away
52.1% (516)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Coyle
Drouin
P1
48.7%
52.1%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
53.1%
45.0%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |