Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 67.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Coyle
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Coyle
Lehtera
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
4
Coyle
Lehtera
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
6
7
Coyle
Lehtera
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
50.4% (2,714)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
55.8% (339)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
41.3% (104)
+2.5%
On power play, Lehtera has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lehtera
Home
49.7% (4,692)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Coyle
Lehtera
P1
49.5%
53.2%
P2
48.2%
50.6%
P3
48.6%
48.1%
OT
49.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 26, 2016 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |