Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.1%). Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Brodziak 51.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 70.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 51.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Coyle
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Brodziak
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Coyle
Brodziak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Coyle
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
53.1% (808)
+0.2%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
50.0% (10)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
47.0% (149)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Coyle is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Coyle shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Coyle
Brodziak
Home
49.5% (210)
56.6% (477)
Away
54.4% (250)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Coyle
Brodziak
P1
53.3%
54.1%
P2
48.0%
55.5%
P3
55.7%
47.0%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |