Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Chipchura 51.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 75.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Coyle
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Chipchura
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Chipchura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Coyle
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Coyle
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
52.8% (790)
-6.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
35.3% (17)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
45.9% (109)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Coyle
Chipchura
Home
50.4% (367)
52.5% (465)
Away
42.5% (351)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Coyle
Chipchura
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
47.9%
50.9%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
14.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |