Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stankoven on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stankoven shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Stankoven 44.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 84.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 57.1%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coyle
Stankoven
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Stankoven
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Stankoven
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
0
1
Coyle
Stankoven
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stankoven
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stankoven
1
2
Coyle
Stankoven
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stankoven
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
44.2% (702)
+8.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
41.9% (86)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
60.0% (5)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Stankoven has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stankoven shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Stankoven is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stankoven
Home
49.0% (537)
44.6% (404)
Away
52.1% (516)
43.4% (389)
By Period
Coyle
Stankoven
P1
48.7%
42.7%
P2
49.6%
45.0%
P3
53.1%
44.8%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Stankoven
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |