Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 72.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Coyle
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Coyle
Wallmark
Last 8: Coyle 1-7 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Coyle
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Coyle
Wallmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
3
Coyle
Wallmark
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
51.8% (956)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
44.1% (59)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
47.4% (114)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Coyle shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Coyle
Wallmark
Home
45.6% (373)
52.5% (579)
Away
46.2% (329)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Coyle
Wallmark
P1
45.9%
54.4%
P2
46.4%
48.8%
P3
45.5%
50.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |