Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Cullen 53.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 53.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Coyle
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Coyle
Cullen
Last 8: Coyle 4-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
3
Coyle
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
54.2% (251)
-7.6%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
41.7% (12)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
58.3% (24)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Cullen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cullen
Home
50.4% (367)
65.9% (126)
Away
42.5% (351)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Coyle
Cullen
P1
46.8%
52.7%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
45.9%
51.6%
OT
14.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |