Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Hendricks 49.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 66.3%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 75.4%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Coyle
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Hendricks
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
47.8% (159)
-1.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
100.0% (1)
-64.4%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
55.3% (38)
+34.7%
On power play, Hendricks has a +64.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Hendricks is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hendricks
Home
50.4% (367)
51.1% (88)
Away
42.5% (351)
48.2% (110)
By Period
Coyle
Hendricks
P1
46.8%
43.3%
P2
47.9%
53.8%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |