Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Stajan 48.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 85.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Coyle
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
Stajan
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Coyle
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Coyle
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
49.2% (886)
-7.8%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
37.1% (35)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.6% (175)
-7.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stajan
Home
46.4% (211)
51.2% (572)
Away
38.1% (247)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Coyle
Stajan
P1
46.2%
48.4%
P2
39.5%
45.2%
P3
37.0%
50.8%
OT
73.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |