Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Raffl 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 67.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Coyle
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Raffl
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Coyle
Raffl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Coyle
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Raffl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
49.1% (597)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
48.1% (27)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
58.5% (41)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Raffl is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Coyle
Raffl
Home
49.7% (4,692)
51.1% (305)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
48.3% (360)
By Period
Coyle
Raffl
P1
49.5%
51.6%
P2
48.2%
48.4%
P3
48.6%
49.2%
OT
49.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |