Scouting Report
Michael Raffl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Raffl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Raffl 51.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Coyle
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Raffl
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Coyle
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Raffl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
57.7% (52)
-9.4%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
50.0% (4)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
0.0% (4)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Raffl is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Coyle
Raffl
Home
52.5% (238)
53.1% (32)
Away
44.6% (269)
53.6% (28)
By Period
Coyle
Raffl
P1
49.7%
62.1%
P2
49.5%
40.9%
P3
46.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |