Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Patrick 51.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 51.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Coyle
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Coyle
Patrick
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Coyle
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
5
Coyle
Patrick
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Patrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
50.6% (1,978)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
57.5% (120)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
57.7% (26)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Coyle
Patrick
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Coyle
Patrick
P1
49.4%
52.9%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
48.8%
51.3%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |