Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Patrick 52.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Coyle
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Coyle
Patrick
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
3
Coyle
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Coyle
Patrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Patrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
51.2% (371)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
62.2% (37)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
59.1% (22)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Patrick is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Coyle
Patrick
Home
52.5% (238)
48.5% (231)
Away
44.6% (269)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Coyle
Patrick
P1
49.7%
52.0%
P2
49.5%
52.3%
P3
46.3%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |