Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Moore 48.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 83.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.5%
Neutral zone
Moore 63.6%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Coyle
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Moore
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
4
Coyle
Moore
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Moore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
50.3% (187)
+2.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
33.3% (15)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
0.0% (3)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Moore is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Coyle
Moore
Home
49.0% (537)
52.3% (132)
Away
52.1% (516)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Coyle
Moore
P1
48.7%
44.3%
P2
49.6%
54.2%
P3
53.1%
46.5%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |