Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Coyle wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Rakell 44.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 57.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Coyle
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Coyle
Rakell
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
1
Coyle
Rakell
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
43.7% (423)
+2.3%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
45.5% (22)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
33.3% (6)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Coyle is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Coyle shoots right. Rakell is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rakell
Home
45.8% (251)
46.1% (180)
Away
45.0% (251)
42.1% (271)
By Period
Coyle
Rakell
P1
49.7%
47.7%
P2
46.9%
37.6%
P3
39.8%
46.0%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |