Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 84.4%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 61.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Coyle
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Horcoff
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Coyle
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
52.7% (347)
-11.3%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
40.0% (20)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
36.0% (50)
+1.5%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Horcoff is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Coyle
Horcoff
Home
46.4% (211)
57.0% (165)
Away
38.1% (247)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Coyle
Horcoff
P1
46.2%
46.8%
P2
39.5%
50.6%
P3
37.0%
50.9%
OT
73.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |