Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 87.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Coyle
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Coyle
Fiddler
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Coyle
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
6
Coyle
Fiddler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
51.8% (819)
-5.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
37.9% (29)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
53.8% (249)
+36.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Coyle
Fiddler
Home
50.4% (367)
51.1% (546)
Away
42.5% (351)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Coyle
Fiddler
P1
46.8%
51.3%
P2
47.9%
53.7%
P3
45.9%
51.3%
OT
14.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |