Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 51.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 88.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 69.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Coyle
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coyle
Fiddler
Last 8: Coyle 5-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Fiddler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
52.4% (590)
-6.4%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
48.3% (29)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
47.5% (278)
-0.8%
On power play, Fiddler has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Coyle
Fiddler
Home
45.8% (251)
51.6% (434)
Away
45.0% (251)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Coyle
Fiddler
P1
49.7%
45.4%
P2
46.9%
52.1%
P3
39.8%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |