Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tikhonov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Tikhonov shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Tikhonov 44.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tikhonov 61.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.4%
Neutral zone
Tikhonov 56.9%
Result
Viktor Tikhonov favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Coyle
Tikhonov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Coyle
Tikhonov
Last 8: Coyle 3-5 Tikhonov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tikhonov
0
3
Coyle
Tikhonov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Tikhonov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tikhonov
1
2
Coyle
Tikhonov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tikhonov
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
39.8% (98)
+6.2%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
33.3% (18)
+5.8%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tikhonov shoots right. Coyle is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Coyle shoots right. Tikhonov is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tikhonov
Home
45.8% (251)
40.0% (85)
Away
45.0% (251)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Coyle
Tikhonov
P1
49.7%
46.2%
P2
46.9%
34.3%
P3
39.8%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Tikhonov
34.0%▼
38.8%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Viktor Tikhonov |