Scouting Report
Chris Drury holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.5% vs Arnott 50.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 83.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 74.0%
Neutral zone
Arnott 61.3%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Drury
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Arnott
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Drury
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Arnott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Arnott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (177)
49.7% (1,444)
+6.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.8% (182)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (36)
40.0% (15)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Drury is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Drury shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Drury
Arnott
Home
60.0% (130)
52.1% (891)
Away
51.6% (95)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Drury
Arnott
P1
52.8%
46.1%
P2
49.3%
53.6%
P3
65.8%
50.1%
OT
80.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
58.0%▬
58.0%
56.4%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Chris Drury |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Chris Drury |