Scouting Report
Chris Drury holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.5% vs Carter 53.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 62.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 59.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Drury
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Carter
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Drury
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (177)
53.3% (8,728)
+3.2%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
57.3% (1,554)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (36)
46.3% (1,087)
+14.8%
On power play, Carter has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Drury is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Drury shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Drury
Carter
Home
60.0% (130)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.6% (95)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Drury
Carter
P1
52.8%
53.6%
P2
49.3%
52.8%
P3
65.8%
53.1%
OT
80.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
58.0%▬
58.0%
56.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Chris Drury |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Chris Drury |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Chris Drury |