Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Higgins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 49.2% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Higgins 72.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 78.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 57.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Higgins
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Higgins
Gaustad
Last 6: Higgins 3-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Higgins
2
1
Higgins
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Higgins
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (54)
58.6% (790)
-14.2%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
66.7% (93)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
61.0% (269)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Higgins is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Higgins shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Higgins
Gaustad
Home
44.9% (49)
60.6% (554)
Away
52.8% (36)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Higgins
Gaustad
P1
54.5%
61.3%
P2
48.3%
55.5%
P3
46.9%
62.3%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
48.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |