Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Kelly 51.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Henrique
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Henrique
Kelly
Last 7: Henrique 1-6 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Henrique
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
4
Henrique
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
51.3% (686)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
69.2% (26)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
50.0% (92)
+1.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kelly
Home
51.2% (461)
52.3% (388)
Away
46.9% (565)
51.3% (421)
By Period
Henrique
Kelly
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
51.7%
P3
49.1%
53.0%
OT
22.2%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | OT | 00:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |