Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Kelly 50.8% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 74.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Ryan
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Kelly
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
51.9% (723)
-10.6%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
54.2% (24)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
46.4% (166)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Ryan shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kelly
Home
38.4% (138)
53.8% (442)
Away
42.0% (81)
48.1% (474)
By Period
Ryan
Kelly
P1
33.7%
50.2%
P2
40.3%
47.6%
P3
49.2%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
32.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 01:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |