Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Kelly 56.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 92.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 65.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 76.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Richards
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Richards
Kelly
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Kelly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
6
Richards
Kelly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
4
Richards
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
58.7% (298)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
100.0% (8)
-50.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
49.3% (67)
-7.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Richards is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Richards shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Richards
Kelly
Home
51.9% (397)
60.0% (200)
Away
49.2% (376)
55.5% (173)
By Period
Richards
Kelly
P1
47.1%
55.9%
P2
54.2%
58.4%
P3
50.0%
60.9%
OT
56.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 04:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |