Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.8%). Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Kelly 51.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 68.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 73.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 53.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Boyle
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Boyle
Kelly
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
7
Boyle
Kelly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
1
Boyle
Kelly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
51.3% (686)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
69.2% (26)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
50.0% (92)
-3.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boyle is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Boyle shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Boyle
Kelly
Home
54.3% (595)
52.3% (388)
Away
49.4% (620)
51.3% (421)
By Period
Boyle
Kelly
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
51.3%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |