Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Kelly 56.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Boyle
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Kelly
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Boyle
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
58.7% (298)
-3.0%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
100.0% (8)
-56.5%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
49.3% (67)
+14.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boyle is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Boyle
Kelly
Home
58.5% (205)
60.0% (200)
Away
54.0% (176)
55.5% (173)
By Period
Boyle
Kelly
P1
60.0%
55.9%
P2
54.9%
58.4%
P3
55.3%
60.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |