Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Tierney 49.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 51.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kelly
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Tierney
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Kelly
Tierney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
49.3% (5,342)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.3% (342)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
46.6% (857)
-1.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Home / Away
Kelly
Tierney
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Kelly
Tierney
P1
49.2%
49.3%
P2
49.1%
47.7%
P3
51.9%
50.5%
OT
53.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |