Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Tierney 48.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 64.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 62.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Kelly
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Tierney
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Kelly
Tierney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
49.2% (675)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
43.8% (130)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Kelly
Tierney
Home
47.5% (259)
50.7% (420)
Away
41.3% (242)
46.3% (406)
By Period
Kelly
Tierney
P1
46.7%
45.2%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
43.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |