Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brière shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Brière 48.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Brière leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Brière 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.5%
Neutral zone
Brière 51.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kelly
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Kelly
Brière
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
0
9
Kelly
Brière
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
8
5
Kelly
Brière
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
5
6
Kelly
Brière
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
47.6% (1,812)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.0% (309)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
52.9% (17)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Brière is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,504).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brière
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.7% (1,092)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.2% (1,068)
By Period
Kelly
Brière
P1
49.2%
50.5%
P2
49.1%
45.9%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
53.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |