Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Brière 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Brière leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brière 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 57.7%
Neutral zone
Brière 53.5%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kelly
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kelly
Brière
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
0
5
Kelly
Brière
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Brière
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
2
4
Kelly
Brière
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
47.8% (682)
+3.5%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
54.9% (133)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Brière is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brière
Home
52.3% (388)
49.9% (429)
Away
51.3% (421)
47.8% (402)
By Period
Kelly
Brière
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
51.7%
46.1%
P3
53.0%
47.8%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |