Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.9%). Look for Brière on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brière shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Brière 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 64.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 74.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Kelly
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kelly
Brière
Last 5: Kelly 1-4 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
0
1
Kelly
Brière
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brière
1
2
Kelly
Brière
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
0
1
Kelly
Brière
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
49.7% (286)
+0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
46.0% (63)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
0.0% (1)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Brière is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brière
Home
51.4% (350)
53.8% (158)
Away
45.0% (229)
44.8% (192)
By Period
Kelly
Brière
P1
46.9%
52.1%
P2
53.6%
42.7%
P3
46.8%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |