Chris Kelly vs David Desharnais
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Desharnais 50.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 38-28 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 82.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 61.0%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 60.7%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kelly
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
28
(66 meetings)
38
28
Kelly
Desharnais
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
7
Kelly
Desharnais
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
22
7
Kelly
Desharnais
29 total
Neutral Zone
Even
14
14
Kelly
Desharnais
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
49.9% (5,585)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
58.2% (1,058)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
39.1% (128)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Desharnais is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,268).
Home / Away
Kelly
Desharnais
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.0% (3,426)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
49.9% (3,381)
By Period
Kelly
Desharnais
P1
49.2%
51.1%
P2
49.1%
53.1%
P3
51.9%
48.5%
OT
53.5%
51.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |