Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Desharnais 50.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 92.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 75.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Kelly
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kelly
Desharnais
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
2
Kelly
Desharnais
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Desharnais
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Desharnais
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
48.6% (595)
+10.1%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
57.8% (154)
+42.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
26.7% (15)
+22.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Desharnais is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Kelly
Desharnais
Home
60.0% (200)
49.0% (402)
Away
55.5% (173)
51.1% (362)
By Period
Kelly
Desharnais
P1
55.9%
56.5%
P2
58.4%
47.5%
P3
60.9%
45.8%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |