Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Krejci 50.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 61.9%
Neutral zone
Krejci 52.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Kelly
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Kelly
Krejci
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Krejci
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Kelly
Krejci
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Krejci
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.6% (9,657)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.3% (1,027)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.8% (469)
-4.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Home / Away
Kelly
Krejci
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.1% (5,660)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
48.7% (5,517)
By Period
Kelly
Krejci
P1
49.2%
50.7%
P2
49.1%
51.8%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
OT
53.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |