Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Krejci 51.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 85.5%
Defensive zone
Krejci 61.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 64.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Kelly
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kelly
Krejci
Last 7: Kelly 5-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Krejci
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Krejci
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
51.1% (1,151)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
44.2% (43)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Krejci is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Home / Away
Kelly
Krejci
Home
47.5% (259)
52.2% (619)
Away
41.3% (242)
50.9% (660)
By Period
Kelly
Krejci
P1
46.7%
46.1%
P2
42.9%
54.4%
P3
43.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |