Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Roy 47.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 56.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 73.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Kelly
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Kelly
Roy
Last 10: Kelly 9-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Kelly
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
9
0
Kelly
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
43.9% (380)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
52.8% (106)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
55.3% (38)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kelly
Roy
Home
53.8% (442)
51.6% (283)
Away
48.1% (474)
40.4% (245)
By Period
Kelly
Roy
P1
50.2%
47.8%
P2
47.6%
41.1%
P3
54.5%
49.7%
OT
85.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |