Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Jeffrey 48.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 51.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 52.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kelly
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kelly
Jeffrey
Last 6: Kelly 3-3 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Jeffrey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Jeffrey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
0
1
Kelly
Jeffrey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
46.2% (197)
+5.1%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (6)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
64.7% (17)
-14.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jeffrey
Home
52.3% (388)
49.4% (89)
Away
51.3% (421)
47.8% (136)
By Period
Kelly
Jeffrey
P1
50.0%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
48.7%
P3
53.0%
48.7%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |