Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Penner 44.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 64.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 84.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Kelly
Penner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Penner
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Penner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Penner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Penner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Penner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Penner
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
41.1% (151)
+10.8%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
50.0% (92)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
35.6% (59)
+10.8%
On even strength, Kelly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Penner shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Kelly
Penner
Home
53.8% (442)
47.5% (158)
Away
48.1% (474)
37.8% (148)
By Period
Kelly
Penner
P1
50.2%
38.1%
P2
47.6%
36.2%
P3
54.5%
54.7%
OT
85.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |