Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Zetterberg 50.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 68.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Kelly
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kelly
Zetterberg
Last 5: Kelly 1-4 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
0
2
Kelly
Zetterberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Zetterberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
0
2
Kelly
Zetterberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
50.6% (849)
-0.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.7% (197)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
72.2% (18)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Kelly shoots left. Zetterberg is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Kelly
Zetterberg
Home
53.9% (297)
51.4% (589)
Away
42.1% (242)
50.1% (475)
By Period
Kelly
Zetterberg
P1
45.4%
51.6%
P2
46.1%
49.6%
P3
54.3%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Oct 15, 2014 | OT | 04:19 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |