Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Carter 54.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 79.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kelly
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kelly
Carter
Last 5: Kelly 0-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Kelly
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
56.2% (445)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.4% (114)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
37.5% (40)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Kelly shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Kelly
Carter
Home
53.8% (442)
55.0% (291)
Away
48.1% (474)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Kelly
Carter
P1
50.2%
57.2%
P2
47.6%
46.6%
P3
54.5%
58.0%
OT
85.7%
77.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |