Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Hecht 43.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 71.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 93.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 92.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Kelly
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Kelly
Hecht
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Hecht
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Hecht
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Hecht
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
43.2% (1,074)
+7.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
44.1% (93)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
42.0% (207)
+2.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hecht
Home
52.6% (1,965)
45.5% (714)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
40.7% (668)
By Period
Kelly
Hecht
P1
49.2%
41.9%
P2
49.1%
44.7%
P3
51.9%
43.1%
OT
53.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |