Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Hecht 43.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 89.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Kelly
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Kelly
Hecht
Last 7: Kelly 7-0 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Hecht
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Hecht
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
0
Kelly
Hecht
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
41.8% (558)
+10.1%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
44.4% (72)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
47.3% (93)
-0.9%
On even strength, Kelly has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Hecht is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hecht
Home
53.8% (442)
44.7% (356)
Away
48.1% (474)
41.6% (373)
By Period
Kelly
Hecht
P1
50.2%
41.9%
P2
47.6%
45.0%
P3
54.5%
42.0%
OT
85.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |