Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Hecht 43.5% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 55.1%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kelly
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Hecht
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Hecht
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
2
Kelly
Hecht
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
0
1
Kelly
Hecht
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
42.9% (273)
+15.8%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
16.7% (6)
+83.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
39.2% (74)
+10.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Hecht is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hecht
Home
60.0% (200)
44.2% (208)
Away
55.5% (173)
37.9% (145)
By Period
Kelly
Hecht
P1
55.9%
39.8%
P2
58.4%
39.1%
P3
60.9%
46.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |