Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 64.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 64.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Kelly
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kelly
Mitchell
Last 10: Kelly 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Kelly
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
5
Kelly
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Mitchell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.8% (2,965)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.1% (196)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
44.1% (401)
+0.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Kelly
Mitchell
Home
52.6% (1,965)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Kelly
Mitchell
P1
49.2%
52.0%
P2
49.1%
49.9%
P3
51.9%
50.9%
OT
53.5%
69.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |