Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Bailey 45.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 89.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 87.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Kelly
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Kelly
Bailey
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
3
Kelly
Bailey
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
44.2% (441)
+7.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
48.1% (81)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
41.7% (84)
+4.7%
On even strength, Kelly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Kelly
Bailey
Home
53.8% (442)
43.1% (295)
Away
48.1% (474)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Kelly
Bailey
P1
50.2%
46.5%
P2
47.6%
45.7%
P3
54.5%
41.3%
OT
85.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |